Thoughts on When to Sell a Dividend Stock…!

I know, this is taboo.  We don’t buy to sell!  We don’t buy stocks to look for a selling point as dividend investors do we?  Our holding period is for LIFE!

9 times out of 10, or even more, that is definitely the case.

However, as you become more experienced and learn from investing mistakes, I believe that there are IN FACT times when you should sell a dividend stock.

Now, that specific thought or strategy is where “personal finance” comes in to play, as it really comes down to YOU, the investor.  It comes down to when YOU see that a stock you own, no longer fits your dividend investing strategy.  Here are my thoughts.

When i’ve sold stocks

I haven’t sold stocks often.  In the last few years, I have sold stock such as – Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), thank goodness I missed that sh*t show, Mattel (MAT), just was a dog of a stock for me, especially after not paying a dividend, Delta (DAL) – primarily the dividend, etc..

Therefore, overtime, I have learned something from each stock – the reason why I bought it, and the reasons for the flaws in it.  Example – with BBBY, it was a dying fad, with the family event scenes (wedding, baby, etc.) and DAL with a heavy, capital intensive business.

What about other dividend stocks that we all hold, where we question them in our portfolio?  Even those that we have held for years, that pay a dividend and sometimes – an even growing dividend?  There could be reasons to hold, but also reasons to sell those dividend stocks too.

The key piece, though, is ensuring you know your “why” to holding a stock and the “why” on when to sell a dividend stock.  I wanted to evaluate where I believe my “why” or metrics are, when I should consider selling a dividend stock I own, by at least having them on the chopping block

When to sell a Dividend Stock – Potential metrics & reasons

Now onto the personal finance side of this article.  I have plenty of stocks that I am possibly looking to sell.  I even mentioned them on one of our latest YouTube videos.

That video only showcased 3 stocks that I am mulling over a sale decision.  When reviewing the stocks I’ve listed as a dividend stock sale candidate, I noticed a few trends:

1.) Lack of Dividend Growth.  If a company, whom routinely increases their dividend, suddenly stops for a three years with no future plan or indication of future dividend hikes, this catches my eye.  Now, if the dividend yield is higher, than that MAY be okay.  However, if the dividend stock yields < 4%, for me, that goes on the list for potential stocks to sell.  The one stock that fit this bill was FirstEnergy (FE), which FirstEnergy is now going on 4 years with no increases (i.e. 2019).

The yield is < 4% and with no dividend growth, I truly would do better in a US treasury at this point!  I could go into National Gridd (NGG), Consolidated Edison (ED) or my Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM), and get a better combination of yield + growth.

2.) Low dividend growth, low yield.  As a dividend investor, you understand the pendulum or “see-saw”.  The higher the dividend growth rate, the lower the dividend yield.  The higher the dividend yield, the lower the dividend growth rate.  You typically want to see that combination.  Example – a 3% yielding stock, you want to see a 5-7%+ dividend growth rate.  Or, a 7% dividend yield stock, with a dividend growth rate of 1-3%.  One last example, a 0.50%-1.50% dividend yielding stock, with a 7-10%+ dividend growth rate.

I come up with this, as, overall, I’d like my dividend portfolio to have between an 8-10% dividend “factor” as I call it.  This is the combination of yield + growth rate.  At the time of this writing, I am at a 9.43%.  This means my income, if I reinvest dividends, should grow 9.43% per year.

An example in this case is MDU Resources (MDU).  The reason this stock fits the bill here is the stock yields 3%.  The dividend growth rate is 2.50% and is declining.  Therefore, only a 5.00%-5.50% dividend factor for me.  Moving that to VYM with a 3% yield and a 5-8% dividend growth rate just makes sense.

3.) No Dividend.  Yes, duh, right?  No dividend paying stocks in your portfolio.  How did they enter my portfolio?  Am I sitting around buying growth stocks or non-income-producing assets?  Not so fast.  There are many times when stocks I own perform spin-offs.

The most recent, significant, spin-off has been WarnerMediaDiscover (WBD).  I own 68 shares of that piece of junk and have now watched the stock drop from the $19-$20 range down to below $13, as I continue to hold.  I should have sold and should still sell and move the $800-$850 into an income producing asset – again, an ETF such as VYM – getting the nice combination that I strive for.

Selling a dividend stock conclusion & thoughts

What do you think of the metrics I have listed above, on when I would sell a dividend stock?  Do you have your own criteria and/or have sold stocks in the past?

In order to stay on track and to make sure your assets align with your goals, you may have to “clean up” positions in your dividend stock portfolio.

I gave one example that fits each of the criteria above, but there are plenty more within my portfolio that are under review.  What stocks are you debating on selling that you still hold?  Would love to see your feedback!

As always, good luck and happy investing everyone!

-Lanny

One thought on “Thoughts on When to Sell a Dividend Stock…!

  1. Two more factors to add here:

    1. Sell the stock when you need the money. Such as if you have to buy a house, or you get sued or get a DUI or some other unfortunate event occurs.

    2. Sell when you need to rebalance your portfolio.

    3. Sell when the company changes business model and the new model is no longer in accordance with your values.

    So…there are lots of reasons to dump a stock, not just deterioration in the fundamentals or lack of growth.

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